Service Plays Thursday 2/4/10

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Thank you, wilheim.......

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Pick 'n' Roll: Today's best NBA bets

San Antonio Spurs at Portland Trail Blazers (N/A)

The Spurs have already played the last three games without Tony Parker, and now will likely be without the team’s other All-Star, center Tim Duncan, against Portland on Thursday.

Coach Greg Popovich told the TNT crew two weeks ago that Duncan would not play in any back-to-back games for the remainder of the season despite Duncan wanting to play.

This decision conforms to Pop’s ideology of not exhausting his key players during the regular season in order to have them fresh for the playoffs.

It is unlikely Duncan will play Thursday but check his status before laying a wager as coachs’ decisions can often be swayed.

The Spurs are 3-5 SU and ATS in B2B situations this season while the Blazers are 7-3 SU and ATS in that scenario. Portland has gotten the better of San Antonio in both matchups this season including an upset in Texas as 12-point dogs.

Pick: Trail Blazers
 
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Ice picks: Today's best NHL bets

Montreal Canadiens at Boston Bruins (-160, 5)

Hockey rivalries can fuel some very ugly scenes. And when these Original 6 foes meet in Boston Thursday, NHL bettors should expect an ugly finish. Montreal and Boston have both struggled to score in recent games.

The Canadiens have averaged just 1.5 goals in their last four games. They are just 1-3 and have played under the total in all four contests including Tuesday’s grimy 3-2 win over the Vancouver Canucks - their first game since second-leading scorer Michael Cammalleri went down with a knee injury.

"I'm not going to say we're a better team without him, but maybe it forces guys to play a bit more of a simple game because we've got one less skill guy in there," forward Mathieu Darche told the Globe and Mail. "It's going to get done with hard work and playing more of a north-south game."

The Bruins are fresh off a 4-1 loss to the Washington Capitals Tuesday, which marked the seventh straight time they’ve scored two or less goals. Boston is sliding on an eight-game skid, having averaged just over a goal per game in that span and playing under the number in five of those contests.

Pick: Under


Vancouver Canucks at Ottawa Senators (-105, 5.5)

Two of the hottest clubs in hockey meet in Canada’s capital Thursday night.

The Canucks, who had a seven-game winning streak snapped by Montreal Tuesday, come to Ottawa to face a Senators squad that, heading into Tuesday’s showdown with Buffalo, had won nine games in a row.

Vancouver has built its lead in the Northwest Division with solid play at home. Life on the road, however, has not been as kind to the Canucks. They post a 11-12-0-1 record away from GM Place, picking up more than 63 percent of their losses on the road.

"It got away from us," Alex Burrows told reporters following Tuesday’s defeat. "It was freewheeling, a lot of rushes, and no whistles. There were a lot of odd-man rushes. We just didn't compete hard enough in our own end and turned the puck over way too many times which led to those odd-man rushes."

Vancouver, which averages 3.5 goals at home, is scoring just 2.8 goals per road game while allowing host opponents to find the twine almost a goal more than when playing at home.

Pick: Ottawa
 

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Dave Malinsky

Dave Swished a couple more heartbreakers for his clients with another 0-3-1
record on Wed Night

Dave is promising a big 6* play for us on the thursday card


Dave Malinsky Reports this to his clients

Some days it is awfully difficult to find the words, and on top of some brutal rolls of the dice of late Wednesday produces such a feeling. We will put last night's San Antonio ending up at the Hall of Fame level, after the Kings made three 3-point shots in the final seven seconds (that is correct, three triples in the final seven seconds) to lead to a bitter back-door defeat, only to see that late scramble in Los Angeles add another a few moments later, when Flip Murray's triple at the buzzer turned another result around (if Jordan Farmar dribbles out instead of dunking that one falls at 191). And of course Evansville fouling down by 11 in a dribble-out situation at Creighton did not help. It has simply been a once in a lifetime cycle

The last line is not true at all. Dave has had many implosions of this magnitude over the past 5 years.... its the short dick short memory syndrome.

Dave Malinsky is

- 24.6 units the first 3 Days of February

-102.4 units in the NBA Year to date

-76.2 units in CBB year to date



More swishes to come Thursday morning

but lets all enjoy Daves Superbowl selection



4* #101 NEW ORLEANS over INDIANAPOLIS

It is absolutely no secret what the numbers ?3? and ?4? are worth in
the NFL. When they are established as win numbers in a competitive
game it means that we have a lot going for us, and it is the process
that made those numbers available of the New Orleans side of this
equation that has created extreme value for this game.

There was a lot of discussion on the day of the Conference
Championship games as to where the Super Bowl would open, and the
back-room consensus was a -2.5 with the Colts over either the Saints
or Vikings, or a -3 that would be shaded via the money line towards
the underdogs. Our own contribution to the processes was that it was
the proper range, based on nearly five months of watching the teams
play. And once Indianapolis had the Jets firmly in hand, we saw one
of the strongest stores open the game at -2.5 for a while, before
taking it down when the Vikings/Saints kicked off. It was a good
line. Indianapolis has had a special season from Peyton Manning (back
in an October <i>?Verities & Balderdash?</i> column we were noting
that he was playing as well as any QB we had ever charted), and
deserved the role of the slight favorite, but the Colts are not an
overpowering side.

So fast forward and the markets are sitting at -5, with our hopes of
getting +6?s negated by Dwight Freeney likely to be only a minimal
factor on Sunday. The +3 and +4 have turned into New Orleans ?win?
tickets, not necessarily because of what had happened over the course
of the season, but rather the fact that the Saints appeared to be as
much lucky as good in escaping vs. Minnesota. That is an awfully big
adjustment off of a single result, but as is so often the case, the
markets can be overly influenced by what they saw last. So what is
the proper context? We do not know who the better team is, and one
side has been established as a substantial favorite despite the fact
that their ground game is much weaker, and that they are going to
have a difficult time getting the opposing offense off the field.

Manning has been absolutely brilliant this season, overcoming the
absence of a reliable ground game (that is an understatement, with
the Colts gaining 129 fewer yards overland than any team in the
league, with only the Chargers getting less per attempt), and a lack
of depth and experience in the receiving corps. It was his savvy that
led to a remarkable run of 7-0 in games decided by four points or
less, and they compiled six wins in single digits against opponents
that did not make the playoffs. This is a team that does not have
much margin for error, especially with Freeney?s lessened status
taking away a key cog defensively, and their reputation is in
conflict with their reality in terms of the public perceptions in the
upward surge of this line.

So let?s go to the matchups. The overall defensive numbers for the
Saints are not special because of a weakness against the run, but
that soft spot will not be exposed here. What this group does do is
generate a pass rush and make plays, with 35 sacks and a sparkling
ratio of 26 interceptions vs. only 15 TD passes allowed. And most
important for our purposes, those numbers were not just piled up with
big leads against weak opponents. Down the stretch and in the
playoffs they faced Tom Brady, Kurt Warner and Brett Favre, and in
those three games generated 10 turnovers, and a fantastic ratio of
five interceptions vs. only two TD passes allowed. You do not expect
Manning to be forced into mistakes, but the same can be said about
those other three savvy veterans that struggled so much vs. this
defense.

When the Saints have the ball it is a different story. Consider this
pointspread in light of a team that ran for over 2,000 (#4 in the
NFL) yards at 4.5 per carry vs. a defense that allowed over 2,000
(#24) at 4.3. That matchup provides an awful lot of leverage for Drew
Brees and the passing game, creating extra time in the pocket via
play action, and then it is Brees and his 70.6 percent accuracy vs. a
defense that allowed 63.8. And with Freeney unlikely to be a
significant factor (as a speed rusher that ankle injury takes away
the heart of his game), we expect to see the Indy defense on their
heels throughout. While their overall numbers in the regular season
were respectable they did not face a lot of major challenges, and
were nothing special when they did have to step up (like the 34
points and 477 yards they allowed to Brady and the Patriots). And
while the Saints were having to deal with Warner and Favre in the
playoffs, Indy faced Joe Flacco and Mark Sanchez, with the gap in
experience between those duos about as wide as can be possible.

The bottom line is that the Colts do not bring advantages anywhere
near what this pointspread indicates, and even past experience is not
a huge factor, with only 19 players on this roster holdovers from
their Super Bowl win on this field four years ago. This is absolutely
anyone?s game to win outright, and it would be no surprise at all to
see Brees and all of those New Orleans weapons in the skill positions
dictate the flow throughout against a favorite that brings holes that
can be exploited.
 

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From axiumsports.com

February 4th 2009

*-Weekly System Picks. Please follow the system and do not increase your starting bet until you at least triple your account. -*

Current Bankroll=$996.21

Pick #5-Spain Cup Soccer-Athletico Madrid/Racing Santander OVER 2.5 -111

Pick #6-NCAAB-Central Michigan -2.5 OVER Buffalo -105

Pick #7-NCAAB-San Diego -7.5 OVER San Francisco -111
 
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GAMES OF THE DAY

NCAA Hoops Heaven

**Florida at Alabama**

Las Vegas Sports Consultants opened Alabama (13-8 straight up, 9-8-1 against the spread) as a 1 ½-point favorite.

This matchup features Billy Donovan vs. Anthony Grant. The former had Grant on his coaching staff at Marshall for two years and then for 10 years at Florida. Grant was instrumental in the recruitment of Taurean Green, Al Horford, Joakim Noah and Corey Brewer, who led the Gators to back-to-back national championships. Also, when Donovan (briefly) took the head-coaching job for the Orlando Magic, Grant was literally on the UF plane prepared to fly back to Gainesville and be hired as Donovan’s replacement.

Florida (15-6 SU, 9-7 ATS) is coming off a heartbreaking loss Sunday at Tennessee. The Gators dropped a 61-60 decision, although they did hook up their backers as 8 ½-point road underdogs. Scotty Hopson hit a 20-foot fade-away jumper from the right wing to give UT the lead in the final seconds. UF had one last shot at pulling the upset, but junior forward Alex Tyus missed a short jumper with a few ticks left. Tyus had a game-high 18 points and seven rebounds, while Chandler Parsons was also in double figures with 14 points.

Alabama is 9-4 SU and 5-5 ATS at home in Coleman Coliseum. The Crimson Tide has won its last two home outings, knocking off Mississippi St. (62-57) and LSU (56-37), but its two-game winning streak ended Saturday in a 58-57 loss at Auburn. The one-point loss on the Plains resulted in a push for ‘Bama, which closed as a one-point road underdog.

UF has won four of its last five games both SU and ATS. Before losing in Knoxville, the Gators won four straight with victories over LSU, Arkansas, South Carolina and Georgia.

Florida is 2-2 SU and 3-1 ATS in four true road games this year. The Gators are 4-3 in SEC play, trailing the East division co-leaders Kentucky and Vanderbilt by two games.

UF is led in scoring by freshman guard Kenny Boynton, who is averaging 14.3 points per game. Sophomore guard Ervin Walker is scoring at a 13.1 PPG clip and is also averaging a team-high 5.2 assists and 1.6 steals per game.

Alabama is 3-4 in SEC play, leaving it 1 ½ games behind the SEC West leaders, the Mississippi St. Bulldogs.

The ‘under’ has been a monster money maker in ‘Bama games all year, as evidenced by its 9-0 run. The Tide has watched the ‘under’ go 14-3 overall, 8-1 in its home games.

The ‘under’ is 4-1 in UF’s last five games, 8-4 overall.

Tip-off is slated for 7:00 p.m. Eastern on ESPNU.

**Tennessee at LSU**

LVSC opened Tennessee (16-4 SU, 8-8-1 ATS) as an 8 ½-point favorite.

LSU (9-12 SU, 4-13 ATS) is in the midst of a rebuilding year in Trent Johnson’s second campaign in Baton Rouge. His first team advanced to the second round of the NCAA Tournament, where the Tigers gave eventual national champ North Carolina fits. They actually had the lead midway through the second half before the Tar Heels rallied for the victory.

Bruce Pearl’s squad has overcome the dismissal of senior forward Tyler Smith and the ongoing suspension of Brian Williams to thrive in his fifth season on campus. Barring an unforeseen collapse of epic proportions, the Vols are en route to their fifth straight trip to the Big Dance.

With Smith gone and Williams still unavailable, Wayne Chism, Bobby Maze and Hopson have stepped up their play for Tennessee. Chism is averaging a team-high 7.2 rebounds and 1.4 blocks per game. He was the catalyst in a come-from-behind win at Alabama two weeks ago.

LSU has lost seven consecutive games, going 1-6 ATS in the process. The Tigers are coming off Saturday’s 67-51 loss at Mississippi St. as 12-point underdogs.

LSU had a veteran-laded squad last season, but Tasmin Mitchell and Bo Spencer are the only key holdovers. Mitchell, a senior forward, is averaging a team-high 17.9 points, 9.6 rebounds and 1.3 steals per game. Spencer is scoring at a 14.5 PPG clip.

LSU has been burning the pockets of its backers all year long. The Tigers are 9-4 SU at home but an abysmal 2-7 versus the number at the Pete Maravich Assembly Center.

Tennessee will be looking to avenge a 79-73 loss to LSU at Thompson-Boling Arena last year. In that spot, the Tigers went into Knoxville as 7 ½-point underdogs and prevailed behind 29 points from Marcus Thornton. Chism had 19 points and nine boards in the losing effort.

The ‘under’ is 12-4 overall for LSU, 6-2 in its home games.

The ‘under’ is 9-4 overall for the Vols.

ESPN will provide the telecast at 9:00 p.m. Eastern.

**Portland at Gonzaga**

LVSC opened Gonzaga (17-4 SU, 9-8-1 ATS) as a nine–point favorite.

Mark Few’s team saw its nine-game winning streak snapped in Saturday’s 81-77 loss at San Francisco in overtime. The Bulldogs, who were 12-point road favorites, failed to cover the number for the fourth straight time. In the losing effort, Elias Harris had 21 points and eight rebounds, while Matt Bouldin finished with 15 points, 12 boards and five assists.

Portland (14-7 SU, 11-6-1 ATS) made a lot of noise in November, beating teams like Oregon, UCLA and Minnesota. At the time, the Ducks and Bruins were expected to be better than they have turned out to be, so those wins aren’t as impressive now as they appeared back then.

Portland has won four in a row, including back-to-back road triumphs at Santa Clara (74-52) and at San Francisco (74-58). Even better, the Pilots are 5-0-1 ATS in their last six outings.

Eric Reveno’s squad is led by its outstanding back-court combination of T.J. Campbell and Nik Raivio, who is the younger brother of former Gonzaga star Derek Raivio. Campbell is averaging 13.3 points and 5.6 assists per game. Raivio, who has missed four straight games and is “questionable” for Thursday’s game, averages 14.1 points and 6.1 rebounds per contest.

Bouldin leads the Bulldogs in scoring (16.4 PPG), assists (4.2 APG) and steals (1.8 SPG).

Gonzaga has won eight of its nine home games, but it has limped to a 2-4 spread record in the six lined affairs.

When these teams met at Portland earlier this year on Jan. 9, the Bulldogs captured an 81-78 win as two-point road favorites. The 159 combined points sailed ‘over’ the 144-point number. Bouldin had a team-high 20 points and nine assists, while Robin Smeulders had a game-high 24 points for the Pilots prior to fouling out.

The ‘over’ is a lucrative 14-4 overall for Gonzaga, 6-0 in its home games.

The ‘under’ is 10-6 overall for the Pilots.

ESPN2 will have television coverage at 11:00 p.m. Eastern.
 
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Mighty Quinn

Mighty hit with Memphis (-7-1/2) Wednesday night.

Today it's Duke. The deficit is 405 sirignanos.
 
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DCI

Straight Up: 2625-828 (.760)
ATS: 1076-1086 (.498)
ATS Vary Units: 3125-3247 (.490)
Over/Under: 913-917 (.499)
Over/Under Vary Units: 1378-1360 (.503)

America East Conference
BOSTON U. 67, New Hampshire 57
Atlantic Coast Conference
DUKE 79, Georgia Tech 68
FLORIDA STATE 72, Maryland 69
VIRGINIA TECH 80, North Carolina 76
Atlantic Sun Conference
Campbell 71, STETSON 63
East Tennessee State 74, FLORIDA GULF COAST 69
Mercer vs. KENNESAW STATE: TOO CLOSE TO CALL
Big East Conference
NOTRE DAME 77, Cincinnati 75
Big South Conference
COASTAL CAROLINA 80, Gardner-Webb 61
LIBERTY 64, Winthrop 62
UNC Asheville 76, CHARLESTON SOUTHERN 75
VMI 91, Presbyterian 89
Big Ten Conference
Purdue 72, INDIANA 59
Big West Conference
Cal State Northridge 67, UC RIVERSIDE 65
LONG BEACH STATE 79, Cal State Fullerton 75
PACIFIC 68, UC Santa Barbara 56
UC DAVIS 75, Cal Poly 68
Great West Conference
CHICAGO STATE 72, Houston Baptist 70
UTAH VALLEY 64, Texas-Pan American 60
Horizon League
BUTLER 72, Detroit 55
Cleveland State 66, UIC 61
LOYOLA (CHICAGO) 67, Youngstown State 59
Wright State vs. VALPARAISO: TOO CLOSE TO CALL
Mid-American Conference
BALL STATE 56, Bowling Green State 51
CENTRAL MICHIGAN 67, Buffalo 66
Kent State 65, EASTERN MICHIGAN 59
Ohio 68, TOLEDO 57
WESTERN MICHIGAN 63, Miami (Ohio) 60
Northeast Conference
Central Connecticut State 62, BRYANT 57
Monmouth 64, FAIRLEIGH DICKINSON 61
MOUNT ST. MARY'S 69, Wagner 56
Quinnipiac 72, SACRED HEART 70
Robert Morris 72, SAINT FRANCIS (PA.) 60
ST. FRANCIS (N.Y.) 68, Long Island 63
Ohio Valley Conference
Austin Peay 80, TENNESSEE-MARTIN 69
EASTERN KENTUCKY 80, Tennessee Tech 72
MOREHEAD STATE 74, Jacksonville State 59
MURRAY STATE 83, Tennessee State 58
Pacific-10 Conference
Arizona State 68, WASHINGTON STATE 65
California 66, USC 64
UCLA 73, Stanford 68
WASHINGTON 81, Arizona 78
Southeastern Conference
ALABAMA 67, Florida 66
Tennessee 75, LSU 64
Southern Conference
College of Charleston 80, CHATTANOOGA 77
FURMAN 71, UNC Greensboro 64
THE CITADEL 55, Samford 46
WESTERN CAROLINA 86, Georgia Southern 69
Summit League
NORTH DAKOTA STATE 78, Umkc 65
OAKLAND 90, Centenary 67
Oral Roberts 66, IPFW 65
SOUTH DAKOTA STATE 79, Southern Utah 65
Sun Belt Conference
Arkansas State 70, UALR 69
LOUISIANA-LAFAYETTE 77, Florida International 65
MIDDLE TENNESSEE 74, Troy 68
NORTH TEXAS 81, Florida Atlantic 77
South Alabama 65, NEW ORLEANS 61
Western Kentucky 72, LOUISIANA-MONROE 66
West Coast Conference
GONZAGA 80, Portland 71
SAINT MARY'S 84, Santa Clara 60
SAN DIEGO 72, San Francisco 63
Western Athletic Conference
LOUISIANA TECH 82, San Jose State 74
 
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DCI

Straight Up: 483-207 (.700)
ATS: 388-328 (.542)
ATS Vary Units: 947-788 (.546)
Over/Under: 353-363 (.493)
Over/Under Vary Units: 499-524 (.488)

CLEVELAND 101, Miami 88
PORTLAND 98, San Antonio 92
 
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DCI

Season: 285-192 (.597)

Montreal vs. BOSTON: TOO CLOSE TO CALL
Washington 3, N.Y. RANGERS 2
Dallas vs. COLUMBUS: TOO CLOSE TO CALL
Vancouver vs. OTTAWA: TOO CLOSE TO CALL
N.Y. Islanders vs. TAMPA BAY: TOO CLOSE TO CALL
San Jose 3, ST. LOUIS 2
Colorado vs. NASHVILLE: TOO CLOSE TO CALL
MINNESOTA 3, Edmonton 2
LOS ANGELES 3, Anaheim 2
 

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Atskings


Rex Rodgers


3* Columbus Blue Jackets -130
3* Nashville Predators -135
 
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NCAAB DUNKEL


Georgia Tech at Duke
The Blue Devils look to build on their 5-0 ATS record in their last 5 home games. Duke is the pick (-12 1/2) according to Dunkel, which has the Blue Devils favored by 15. Dunkel Pick: Duke (-12 1/2). Here are all of today's games.

THURSDAY, FEBRUARY 4

Game 505-506: Purdue at Indiana
Dunkel Ratings: Purdue 71.739; Indiana 56.720
Dunkel Line: Purdue by 15
Vegas Line: Purdue by 11 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Purdue (-11 1/2)

Game 507-508: Georgia Tech at Duke
Dunkel Ratings: Georgia Tech 66.500; Duke 81.566
Dunkel Line: Duke by 15
Vegas Line: Duke by 12 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Duke (-12 1/2)

Game 509-510: Detroit at Butler
Dunkel Ratings: Detroit 58.672; Butler 73.146
Dunkel Line: Butler by 14 1/2
Vegas Line: Butler by 15
Dunkel Pick: Detroit (+15)

Game 511-512: Miami (OH) at Western Michigan
Dunkel Ratings: Miami (OH) 53.763; Western Michigan 59.723
Dunkel Line: Western Michigan by 6
Vegas Line: Western Michigan by 4
Dunkel Pick: Western Michigan (-4)

Game 513-514: Kent State at Eastern Michigan
Dunkel Ratings: Kent State 60.947; Eastern Michigan 54.983
Dunkel Line: Kent State by 6
Vegas Line: Kent State by 4 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Kent State (-4 1/2)

Game 515-516: Buffalo at Central Michigan
Dunkel Ratings: Buffalo 49.239; Central Michigan 57.240
Dunkel Line: Central Michigan by 8
Vegas Line: Central Michigan by 2 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Central Michigan (-2 1/2)

Game 517-518: Ohio at Toledo
Dunkel Ratings: Ohio 56.892; Toledo 41.932
Dunkel Line: Ohio by 15
Vegas Line: Ohio by 11 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Ohio (-11 1/2)

Game 519-520: Bowling Green at Ball State
Dunkel Ratings: Bowling Green 50.124; Ball State 56.241
Dunkel Line: Ball State by 6
Vegas Line: Ball State by 3
Dunkel Pick: Ball State (-3)

Game 521-522: Florida at Alabama
Dunkel Ratings: Florida 66.745; Alabama 66.224
Dunkel Line: Florida by 1
Vegas Line: Alabama by 2 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Florida (+2 1/2)

Game 523-524: Arkansas State at AR-Little Rock
Dunkel Ratings: Arkansas State 52.521; AR-Little Rock 48.812
Dunkel Line: Arkansas State by 3 1/2
Vegas Line: AR-Little Rock by 2 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Arkansas State (+2 1/2)

Game 525-526: Florida International at UL-Lafayette
Dunkel Ratings: Florida International 44.396; UL-Lafayette 55.616
Dunkel Line: UL-Lafayette by 11
Vegas Line: UL-Lafayette by 12
Dunkel Pick: Florida International (+12)

Game 527-528: Western Kentucky at UL-Monroe
Dunkel Ratings: Western Kentucky 53.151; UL-Monroe 48.990
Dunkel Line: Western Kentucky by 4
Vegas Line: Western Kentucky by 6 1/2
Dunkel Pick: UL-Monroe (+6 1/2)

Game 529-530: South Alabama at New Orleans
Dunkel Ratings: South Alabama 50.191; New Orleans 44.596
Dunkel Line: South Alabama by 5 1/2
Vegas Line: South Alabama by 4 1/2
Dunkel Pick: South Alabama (-4 1/2)

Game 531-532: Cleveland State at Illinois-Chicago
Dunkel Ratings: Cleveland State 56.595; Illinois-Chicago 49.248
Dunkel Line: Cleveland State by 7 1/2
Vegas Line: Cleveland State by 5
Dunkel Pick: Cleveland State (-5)

Game 533-534: Youngstown State at Loyola-Chicago
Dunkel Ratings: Youngstown State 48.504; Loyola-Chicago 53.378
Dunkel Line: Loyola-Chicago by 5
Vegas Line: Loyola-Chicago by 4 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Loyola-Chicago (-4 1/2)

Game 535-536: Wright State at Valparaiso
Dunkel Ratings: Wright State 62.604; Valparaiso 56.742
Dunkel Line: Wright State by 6
Vegas Line: Wright State by 4 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Wright State (-4 1/2)

Game 537-538: Troy at Middle Tennessee State
Dunkel Ratings: Troy 50.103; Middle Tennessee State 59.137
Dunkel Line: Middle Tennessee State by 9
Vegas Line: Middle Tennessee State by 5
Dunkel Pick: Middle Tennessee State (-5)

Game 539-540: Florida Atlantic at North Texas
Dunkel Ratings: Florida Atlantic 55.645; North Texas 54.260
Dunkel Line: Florida Atlantic by 1 1/2
Vegas Line: North Texas by 4 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Florida Atlantic (+4 1/2)

Game 541-542: North Carolina at Virginia Tech
Dunkel Ratings: North Carolina 64.159; Virginia Tech 72.222
Dunkel Line: Virginia Tech by 8
Vegas Line: Virginia Tech by 3
Dunkel Pick: Virginia Tech (-3)

Game 543-544: Maryland at Florida State
Dunkel Ratings: Maryland 74.104; Florida State 71.307
Dunkel Line: Maryland by 3
Vegas Line: Florida State by 3
Dunkel Pick: Maryland (+3)

Game 545-546: Cincinnati at Notre Dame
Dunkel Ratings: Cincinnati 64.950; Notre Dame 65.715
Dunkel Line: Notre Dame by 1
Vegas Line: Notre Dame by 3 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Cincinnati (+3 1/2)

Game 547-548: San Jose State at Louisiana Tech
Dunkel Ratings: San Jose State 54.962; Louisiana Tech 69.119
Dunkel Line: Louisiana Tech by 14
Vegas Line: Louisiana Tech by 10 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Louisiana Tech (-10 1/2)

Game 549-550: Tennessee at LSU
Dunkel Ratings: Tennessee 67.153; LSU 59.495
Dunkel Line: Tennessee by 7 1/2
Vegas Line: Tennessee by 6 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Tennessee (-6 1/2)

Game 551-552: San Francisco at San Diego
Dunkel Ratings: San Francisco 49.511; San Diego 59.249
Dunkel Line: San Diego by 10
Vegas Line: San Diego by 7 1/2
Dunkel Pick: San Diego (-7 1/2)

Game 553-554: Arizona State at Washington State
Dunkel Ratings: Arizona State 69.605; Washington State 63.493
Dunkel Line: Arizona State by 6
Vegas Line: Arizona State by 2 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Arizona State (-2 1/2)

Game 555-556: CS-Northridge at UC-Riverside
Dunkel Ratings: CS-Northridge 51.567; UC-Riverside 50.892
Dunkel Line: CS-Northridge by 1
Vegas Line: UC-Riverside by 3
Dunkel Pick: CS-Northridge (+3)

Game 557-558: UC-Santa Barbara at Pacific
Dunkel Ratings: UC-Santa Barbara 51.825; Pacific 61.743
Dunkel Line: Pacific by 10
Vegas Line: Pacific by 9 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Pacific (-9 1/2)

Game 559-560: Cal Poly at UC-Davis
Dunkel Ratings: Cal Poly 51.137; UC-Davis 49.780
Dunkel Line: Cal Poly by 1 1/2
Vegas Line: UC-Davis by 5 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Cal Poly (+5 1/2)

Game 561-562: Arizona at Washington
Dunkel Ratings: Arizona 63.804; Washington 72.552
Dunkel Line: Washington by 8 1/2
Vegas Line: Washington by 9
Dunkel Pick: Arizona (+9)

Game 563-564: California at USC
Dunkel Ratings: California 68.867; USC 67.054
Dunkel Line: California by 2
Vegas Line: California by 1
Dunkel Pick: California (-1)

Game 565-566: Stanford at UCLA
Dunkel Ratings: Stanford 59.255; UCLA 65.811
Dunkel Line: UCLA by 6 1/2
Vegas Line: UCLA by 4 1/2
Dunkel Pick: UCLA (-4 1/2)

Game 567-568: Portland at Gonzaga
Dunkel Ratings: Portland 63.674; Gonzaga 71.326
Dunkel Line: Gonzaga by 7 1/2
Vegas Line: Gonzaga by 9
Dunkel Pick: Portland (+9)

Game 569-570: CS-Fullerton at Long Beach State
Dunkel Ratings: CS-Fullerton 50.879; Long Beach State 55.846
Dunkel Line: Long Beach State by 5
Vegas Line: Long Beach State by 6 1/2
Dunkel Pick: CS-Fullerton (+6 1/2)

Game 571-572: Santa Clara at St. Mary's (CA)
Dunkel Ratings: Santa Clara 49.106; St. Mary's (CA) 70.982
Dunkel Line: St. Mary's (CA) by 22
Vegas Line: St. Mary's (CA) by 20 1/2
Dunkel Pick: St. Mary's (CA) (-20 1/2)

Game 573-574: Georgia Southern at Western Carolina
Dunkel Ratings: Georgia Southern 44.719; Western Carolina 55.224
Dunkel Line: Western Carolina by 10 1/2
Vegas Line: Western Carolina by 16
Dunkel Pick: Georgia Southern (+16)

Game 575-576: Chattanooga at College of Charleston
Dunkel Ratings: Chattanooga 49.488; College of Charleston 57.161
Dunkel Line: College of Charleston by 7 1/2
Vegas Line: College of Charleston by 10
Dunkel Pick: Chattanooga (+10)

Game 577-578: NC Greensboro at Furman
Dunkel Ratings: NC Greensboro 44.232; Furman 51.273
Dunkel Line: Furman by 7
Vegas Line: Furman by 6 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Furman (-6 1/2)

Game 579-580: Samford at The Citadel
Dunkel Ratings: Samford 44.976; The Citadel 55.584
Dunkel Line: The Citadel by 10 1/2
Vegas Line: The Citadel by 5 1/2
Dunkel Pick: The Citadel (-5 1/2)

Game 581-582: Jacksonville State at Morehead State
Dunkel Ratings: Jacksonville State 47.488; Morehead State 63.182
Dunkel Line: Morehead State by 15 1/2
Vegas Line: Morehead State by 13
Dunkel Pick: Morehead State (-13)

Game 583-584: Tennessee Tech at Eastern Kentucky
Dunkel Ratings: Tennessee Tech 47.275; Eastern Kentucky 57.011
Dunkel Line: Eastern Kentucky by 9 1/2
Vegas Line: Eastern Kentucky by 10
Dunkel Pick: Tennessee Tech (+10)

Game 585-586: Austin Peay at Tennessee Martin
Dunkel Ratings: Austin Peay 51.608; Tennessee Martin 41.091
Dunkel Line: Austin Peay by 10 1/2
Vegas Line: Austin Peay by 10
Dunkel Pick: Austin Peay (-10)

Game 587-588: Tennessee State at Murray State
Dunkel Ratings: Tennessee State 42.555; Murray State 67.634
Dunkel Line: Murray State by 25
Vegas Line: Murray State by 22 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Murray State (-22 1/2)

Game 589-590: Oral Roberts at IPFW
Dunkel Ratings: Oral Roberts 58.090; IPFW 51.041
Dunkel Line: Oral Roberts by 7
Vegas Line: No Line
Dunkel Pick: N/A

Game 591-592: Centenary at Oakland
Dunkel Ratings: Centenary 39.818; Oakland 62.900
Dunkel Line: Oakland by 23
Vegas Line: No Line
Dunkel Pick: N/A

Game 593-594: UMKC at North Dakota State
Dunkel Ratings: UMKC 43.245; North Dakota State 53.353
Dunkel Line: North Dakota State by 10
Vegas Line: No Line
Dunkel Pick: N/A

Game 595-596: Southern Utah at South Dakota State
Dunkel Ratings: Southern Utah 39.706; South Dakota State 54.723
Dunkel Line: South Dakota State by 15
Vegas Line: No Line
Dunkel Pick: N/A
 
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NCAAB WRITE-UP

Thursday, February 4

Information on the best of Thursday's college basketball games........

Duke (-6.5) lost 71-67 at Georgia Tech Jan 9; Tech outscored Duke 22-9 on foul line- Blue Devils made just 6-28 from arc, but Duke covered all four ACC home games, winning by 21-20-20-14 points. Tech won three of last four games; they're 2-1 as ACC road dog, losing by 7 at Virginia, 2 at Florida State, but winning SU at North Carolina.

Underdog covered four of last five Florida-Alabama games; Gators won four of last five games but are 1-2 on SEC road, losing by 8 at Vandy, 1 at Tennessee, winning at Arkansas. Alabama is 2-4 in last six games, but won last two at home, allowing 47.5 ppg in wins over Miss State, LSU. Alabama coach Grant was assistant at Florida for their national titles.

North Carolina lost four of five games since beating Virginia Tech 78-64 (-8.5) in ACC opener Jan 10; UNC blocked 10 shots, held Tech to 36% from floor in that game- they're 1-1 on ACC road, beating NC State by 14, losing by 19 at Clemson. Hokies are 2-0 at home in ACC, beating Miami by 15, Boston College by a point. Heels won last four in series.

Maryland (-5) made 10-16 from arc in 77-68 win over Florida State Jan 10; Terps are 5-1 vs spread in ACC, won three of last four games- they are 2-1 as ACC road dog, losing by 2 at Wake, 9 at Clemson. Seminoles won three of last four games; they're 0-3 as ACC home favorite. Home team won last eight series games; Terps lost last four here (4-11-17-3).

Notre Dame lost four of last five games, first of which was 60-58 loss at Cincinnati (+5) Jan 16; Bearcats won despite shooting 32.3% for night. Irish are 3-1 at home in Big East, losing to Syracuse, winning other three games by 15-2-10 points- they're 1-3 as Big East favorite. Cincinnati is 3-1 in last four games, but lost last three on road, by 7-2-8 points.

San Jose State (+6) upset Louisiana Tech 87-76 Jan 21, making 24-28 on foul line, 7-15 from arc (Tech was 8-12 from line, 10-22 from arc). Tech lost two of last three after 5-0 WAC start; they're 2-2 as home favorite, winning at home by 6-22-8 points. San Jose is 1-3 as WAC road dog, losing away games by 29-10-1-19 points. WAC home faves: 12-12.

LSU is 0-7 in SEC, losing home games by 17-4-10 points; they're 0-5 vs spread in last five games. Underdogs covered last four Tennessee-LSU games; Vols lost two of last three visits here. Vols are 1-4 vs spread in last five games, splitting pair of road games (won by 7 at Alabama, lost by 15 at Georgia). Tigers were held to 38-51 points in last two games.

Arizona State (-7.5) hammered Washington State 71-46 in first meeting, holding Coogs to 29.8% for game; ASU is 5-2 in last seven games, taking last two road games, by 19-9 points. Wazzu is 2-7 vs spread in Pac-10, 0-4 at home, beating Oregon State by 5, Stanford by 4, losing to Oregon by 2, Cal by 5. Pac-10 home underdogs are 5-2 vs spread.

Pacific won last five games since 68-67 loss (-1.5) at Thunderdome back on Jan 10; Tigers are 2-1-1 as Big West home favorite, winning at home by 9-13-7-16 points. Gauchos are 1-2-1 as road dog, losing away games by 2 at Irvine, 20 at Long Beach, 7 at Northridge. UCSB is 5-2 in its last seven games vs Pacific, winning two of last three visits here.

Arizona covered last six games, won last four; they're 7-0 as Pac-10 dog, 5-0 on road, losing by 6 at USC, 3 at Oregon State, winning other three games. Wildcats beat Washington 87-70 (+2) in first meeting, making 25 of 32 from foul line. Huskies won last four home games by 33-15-47-28 points- home team covered their last seven conference games.

Cal (-10) beat USC 67-59 in first meeting, making 21-24 from foul line (USC was 3-5); Bears are 2-2 on Pac-10 road, winning first, losing next game both road trips- they're 5-2 in last seven games overall. Trojans are 3-1 at home in Pac-10, beating Arizona schools/Washington, losing to Wazzu, but they lost three of last four games overall, scoring 62.3 ppg.

Stanford (-3.5) beat UCLA 70-59 Jan 9, forcing 22 turnovers; Cardinal is 0-5 on Pac-10 road, 1-4 as road dog, losing by 26-33-4-18-8 points away from home. Home side won all nine of its Pac-10 games (7-1-1 against spread). Stanford lost last four visits here by 17-14-10-34 pts. UCLA won three of its last four games, allowing 61.5 ppg.

Gonzaga won last 13 games vs Portland, beating Pilots 81-78 (-2.5) in first meeting Jan 9; Pilots are 4-2 vs spread in last six visits here, but as dogs of 15+ points in all six- their rise as program is shown by spread being 8.5 here. Portland is 5-2 in WCC, losing by 5 at St Mary's. Zags got upset at San Francisco last game; they won home games by 7-16.
 
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NHL DUNKEL


NY Islanders at Tampa Bay
The Lightning look to take advantage of a New York team that is 2-8 in its last 10 meetings in Tampa. Tampa Bay is the pick (-155) according to Dunkel, which has the Lightning favored by 2. Dunkel Pick: Tampa Bay (-155). Here are all of today's picks.

THURSDAY, FEBRUARY 4

Game 1-2: Dallas at Columbus
Dunkel Ratings: Dallas 11.460; Columbus 11.517
Dunkel Line & Total: Columbus by 1/2; 5
Vegas Line & Total: Columbus (-130); 5 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Columbus (-130); Under

Game 3-4: Washington at NY Rangers
Dunkel Ratings: Washington 14.426; NY Rangers 10.950
Dunkel Line & Total: Washington by 3 1/2; 6 1/2
Vegas Line & Total: Washington (-160); 6
Dunkel Pick: Washington (-160); Over

Game 5-6: Montreal at Boston
Dunkel Ratings: Montreal 11.476; Boston 11.865
Dunkel Line & Total: Boston by 1/2; 4 1/2
Vegas Line & Total: Boston (-160); 5
Dunkel Pick: Boston (-160); Under

Game 7-8: NY Islanders at Tampa Bay
Dunkel Ratings: NY Islanders 10.335; Tampa Bay 12.504
Dunkel Line & Total: Tampa Bay by 2; 6
Vegas Line & Total: Tampa Bay (-155); 5 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Tampa Bay (-155); Over

Game 9-10: Vancouver at Ottawa
Dunkel Ratings: Vancouver 12.069; Ottawa 13.944
Dunkel Line & Total: Ottawa by 2; 6
Vegas Line & Total: Ottawa (-120); 5 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Ottawa (-120); Over

Game 11-12: San Jose at St. Louis
Dunkel Ratings: San Jose 12.843; St. Louis 11.421
Dunkel Line & Total: San Jose by 1 1/2; 6 1/2
Vegas Line & Total: San Jose (-160); 5 1/2
Dunkel Pick: San Jose (-160); Over

Game 13-14: Colorado at Nashville
Dunkel Ratings: Colorado 12.507; Nashville 10.790
Dunkel Line & Total: Colorado by 1 1/2; 5
Vegas Line & Total: Nashville (-135); 5 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Colorado (+115); Under

Game 15-16: Edmonton at Minnesota
Dunkel Ratings: Edmonton 10.559; Minnesota 12.322
Dunkel Line & Total: Minnesota by 2; 6 1/2
Vegas Line & Total: No Line
Dunkel Pick: N/A

Game 17-18: Anaheim at Los Angeles
Dunkel Ratings: Anaheim 13.571; Los Angeles 12.093
Dunkel Line & Total: Anaheim by 1 1/2; 5
Vegas Line & Total: Los Angeles (-160); 5 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Anaheim (+140); Under
 
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NHL WRITE-UP

Thursday, February 4

Hot Teams
-- Dallas Stars won six of their last nine games.
-- Washington won its last 11 games, allowing nine goals in last six.
-- Lightning won three of their last four home games.
-- Ottawa won its last ten games, allowing eleven goals. Canucks won seven of their last eight games.
-- Sharks won six of their last eight games.
-- Oilers won last two games, after losing previous thirteen.
-- Ducks won last three games, allowing two goals. Los Angeles won last seven games, allowing six goals in last four.

Cold Teams
-- Blue Jackets are 4-7 in their last eleven games.
-- Rangers lost six of their last seven games.
-- Bruins lost their last eight games, scoring 12 goals. Canadiens lost six of their last nine games.
-- Islanders lost last five games, scoring six goals.
-- Blues lost 10 of their last 14 home games.
-- Predators lost six of their last seven games. Avalanche lost three of their last four games.
-- Minnesota lost six of its last nine games.

Totals
-- Six of last eight Dallas games went over the total.
-- Last three Ranger games stayed under the total.
-- Five of last six Boston games stayed under the total.
-- Last six Tampa Bay games stayed under the total.
-- Six of last seven Ottawa games stayed under the total.
-- Under is 4-0-1 in last five St Louis games; seven of last eight San Jose games went over.
-- Five of last six Colorado games stayed under the total.
-- Over is 9-4 in last thirteen Edmonton games.
-- Under is 4-0-1 in last five Anaheim games.

Playing second of back-to-back nights
-- Senators are 4-0 at home if they played the night before.
-- St Louis is 0-4 at home if it played the night before.
-- Edmonton is 0-4 when it played the night before.
-- Anaheim is 2-9 when it played the night before.

Series Records
-- Dallas is 5-4 in last nine visits to Columbus.
-- Rangers lost four of last five games against Washington.
-- Canadiens are 2-0 against Bruins this year, but lost four of last five visits to Boston.
-- Tampa Bay won three of last four games against the Islanders.
-- Sharks are 8-3 in last eleven games against St Louis.
-- Avalanche lost seven of last nine visits to Nashville.
-- Oilers lost their last eleven visits to Minnesota.
-- Kings won their last four games against Anaheim.
 

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Tony Taylor (4-0 Last 2 days)


4* Over Spurs/Blazers 194 (TNT Total of Month)
 

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